Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.190272 0.224718 0.263250 0.309494 0.363438 0.424326 0.498216
2025-08-10 0.133222 0.175673 0.228252 0.297957 0.387727 0.499219 0.647961
2025-08-17 0.099375 0.142534 0.200285 0.282805 0.397230 0.549771 0.767958
2025-08-24 0.081817 0.125769 0.188432 0.283616 0.423750 0.621526 0.920651
2025-08-31 0.066615 0.108899 0.172662 0.274875 0.433459 0.668669 1.042046
2025-09-07 0.057811 0.099820 0.166400 0.278321 0.460151 0.741800 1.208137
2025-09-14 0.050227 0.091235 0.159283 0.278781 0.481287 0.807632 1.369073
2025-09-21 0.043245 0.082408 0.150270 0.274436 0.493322 0.859319 1.511783
2025-09-28 0.037914 0.075577 0.143539 0.272751 0.509046 0.917899 1.671130
2025-10-05 0.035541 0.073806 0.145441 0.286431 0.552931 1.028413 1.930559
2025-10-12 0.033906 0.073172 0.149257 0.303941 0.605471 1.159020 2.238344
2025-10-19 0.031719 0.071070 0.149925 0.315358 0.647605 1.274566 2.529588
2025-10-26 0.028218 0.065935 0.144396 0.314863 0.668723 1.357097 2.775564
2025-11-02 0.024151 0.058933 0.134129 0.303475 0.667103 1.396777 2.945349
2025-11-09 0.020388 0.051934 0.122785 0.288092 0.655041 1.414102 3.072127
2025-11-16 0.018371 0.048673 0.119137 0.288923 0.677346 1.503222 3.354705
2025-11-23 0.015977 0.044054 0.111683 0.280026 0.677012 1.544715 3.541286
2025-11-30 0.014648 0.041899 0.109692 0.283533 0.704988 1.649575 3.875018
2025-12-07 0.013302 0.039456 0.106628 0.284002 0.725869 1.740868 4.188123
2025-12-14 0.011870 0.036516 0.101872 0.279579 0.734438 1.805153 4.446652
2025-12-21 0.010732 0.034200 0.098377 0.277863 0.749371 1.885548 4.750610
2025-12-28 0.010364 0.034078 0.100719 0.291788 0.805344 2.068547 5.315720
2026-01-04 0.010155 0.034402 0.104329 0.309610 0.873461 2.287600 5.989311